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Home » Al Cross Handicaps Kentucky’s Political Field – Kentucky Lantern
Political

Al Cross Handicaps Kentucky’s Political Field – Kentucky Lantern

i2wtcBy i2wtcMay 3, 2024No Comments5 Mins Read
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Welcome Derby visitors! This is the annual handicap to Kentucky’s political horse in his 150th extravaganza of America’s oldest continuously held sporting event.

The political star of Derby’s television show is the governor for about 30 seconds during the trophy presentation. His name is Andy Beshear. It may sound familiar. He is currently in his second term, and his father Steve served two terms until 2015. This state is Republican, but they are Democratic. How is it?

As politics becomes more focused on social issues and the Republican Party’s success in this socially conservative state extends to state and local government, many Kentuckians remain traditionally Democratic voters. Like their parents and grandparents, they were willing or even willing to vote. And Republican leaders and voters had a difficult time selecting a governor.

Former Governor Steve Beshear enjoys riding a horse during his son’s second inaugural parade on December 12, 2023 (Kentucky Lantern photo by Arden Burns)

Republican Ernie Fletcher was embroiled in a personnel scandal and lost to Steve Beshear, a veteran Democrat who understands the state, but in 2011 the Republican Party won what was perhaps the state’s most unpopular politician at the time, now the state Senate president. We got lucky again by drafting David Williams. A highly regarded circuit judge.

Beshear was term-limited in 2015, but he helped elect his son as attorney general, and Republican Gov. Matt Bevin said teachers’ protests against Beshear led to child sexual abuse and drug use. I got lucky again. About half of Kentucky’s teachers are Republicans, and they made him pay. He lost by 0.37 percentage points.

Republicans thought Andy Beshear would be an easy choice in 2023, but voters appreciated his performance during the pandemic and gave him the lead. Then, an intensive campaign, a U.S. Supreme Court ruling on abortion, and the Kentucky Republican Party’s strict laws that all but ban abortions contributed to his 5-point victory.

Andy Beshear’s best bet appears to be to challenge Rand Paul in 2028. l (Getty Images)

For a limited time, Beshear is now looking beyond Kentucky.he has political committee This is to support moderate Democrats like him, and he has been mentioned in 2028 presidential speculation. He will serve his full term until December 2027, and is no longer competing for the seat of Sen. Mitch McConnell, who is retiring as Senate Republican leader, but will continue to represent Kentucky until 2026.

Beshear’s best bet now appears to be to challenge Sen. Rand Paul, who is running for office in 2028. Mr. Paul is more of a liberal than a Republican, and these days he has come to be defined as an isolationist, something he calls “informed neutrality.” He is a deficit hawk, generally opposed to foreign aid, and more or less opposed to the Ukraine issue. Declaration of war He opposed Mr. McConnell after his senior colleague announced that he would not seek reelection as party leader.

The likely Republican candidate for McConnell’s seat is Daniel Cameron, an African-American protégé who served as attorney general and lost to Andy Beshear. Congressman Andy Barr, whose 6th district is centered around Lexington, voted to help UkraineCongressman Thomas Massey of the 4th District did not; Massey is cut from the same cloth as Paul, but has woven it into the political equivalent of a bold derby hat, most recently calling House Speaker Mike Johnson from Speaker of the House Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. I support the petition to evict him.

Thomas Massey is cut from the same cloth as Rand Paul, but he’s woven it into the political equivalent of a bold derby hat, most recently Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Mike Johnson I am supporting a petition to remove the speaker from the chair. (Photo by Jennifer Shutt/State Newsroom)

Other members of Kentucky’s delegation are less interested in performative politics. 1st District Rep. James Comer, chairman of the House Oversight and Reform Committee, is taking action after surprising then-House Speaker Kevin McCarthy with the task of supporting the impeachment case against President Biden. It was way. Mr. Comer is a popular fundraiser and television personality, but he over-exaggerated and implied in an attempt to convey what Republican lawmakers wanted to hear. He says he wants to become governor in 2027. He lost to Bevin in the 2015 primary by 83 votes.

Morgan McGarvey, abortion
Democratic U.S. Representative Morgan McGarvey (left) and State Senator Karen Berg, November 2022 (Kentucky Lantern photo by Arden Burns)

Louisville City Council member Morgan McGarvey is the only Democrat in the delegation. If his party takes control of the House, keep an eye on him. He was a very effective state Senate minority leader. A small portion of Louisville is represented by Brett Guthrie of the 2nd District, who could be elevated to chair the Energy and Commerce Committee, one of the House’s most powerful committees. There is. 5th District Rep. Hal Rogers represents much of Kentucky in the Appalachian region and is in his 44th year funneling federal money to the state. He is the chairman of the Appropriations subcommittee, the longest-serving current member of the House, and appears determined to remain in that position at age 86.

Closer to home, the Republican to watch in Derby when help is needed in Frankfort is Senate President Robert Stivers. He is arguably the state’s main policy maker, as he is the most powerful leader in the tightly Republican-controlled Legislature. But he, like many Republican legislative leaders in the South, is not one to push hot buttons. He is a traditional Republican close to McConnell and has distanced Kentucky Republicans from some of the right-wing excesses seen in other Republican-controlled chambers. He knows that while Kentucky is Republican, it still has Democratic roots.

Senate President Robert Stivers speaks with reporters at Goodwood in Frankfort on February 6. (Kentucky Lantern photo by Sarah Rudd)

This column is Northern Kentucky Courte, a nonprofit publication of the Kentucky Center for Public Service Journalism.



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