COLUMBUS, Ohio — Some political scientists predict that the results of this fall’s presidential election will influence future statewide elections here in Ohio, including the 2026 gubernatorial race.
Ohio is nearing the end of an era as Republican Gov. Mike DeWine finishes his second and final term. In other words, the governor’s office will be widely open in 2026.
“If there’s a seat open, it tends to attract experienced candidates in interesting fields,” said Justin Buckler, an associate professor of political science at Case Western Reserve University. “And that will have a huge impact.”
The Ohio Republican Party sent Spectrum News a statement regarding its outlook for the upcoming gubernatorial race. “In 2026, the Ohio Republican Party looks forward to electing a strong Republican governor who delivers on his promise and is 100% committed to Ohio’s families, workers, and businesses.”
Political experts said they are looking for signs that candidates are making moves toward future campaigns.
“There was so much subterfuge,” said Dave Cohen, a political science professor at the University of Akron. “Some of it happens in public, but a lot of it actually happens behind closed doors with the people who write the big checks.”
Cohen said if people tracked the money, they would likely find a candidate.
“Lieutenant Governor Jon Husted has raised more money than anyone else,” Cohen said. “He’s obviously running.”
Cohen said Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost is the other likely candidate for the Republican nomination, but other incumbent term-limited politicians could also be challengers. said.
“All of these candidates are going to be strategic and tactical and not step on too many toes and try to find the easiest path to continued full-time employment by Ohio State,” he said. Ta.
Buechler also said he is closely watching what happens at the national level this year to find out what will happen in Ohio in 2026.
“No matter which party wins the White House this year, the next midterm elections tend to favor the opposition,” he said.
The Ohio Democratic Party sent Spectrum News a statement regarding its outlook for 2026. “We are focused on the 2024 U.S. Senate and down-ballot elections because these races will have a significant impact on Ohio voters,” it reads.
Cohen said Democrats’ strategy for the governor’s seat likely hinges on Sen. Sherrod Brown’s current bid for re-election.
“I think even if he loses, if he’s not ready to quit politics, he’ll definitely consider running for governor,” Cohen said.
Other Democratic gubernatorial candidates include House Minority Leader Alison Russo, former Rep. Tim Ryan and Judge Jennifer Brunner.
But Cohen said a formal announcement about the 2026 campaign is not expected until next year.
