KARACHI/LAHORE/ISLAMABAD:
As a persistent monsoon system continues to hover over Punjab and other parts of Pakistan, authorities on Friday issued a series of alerts warning of moderate to heavy rainfall, rising river flows and possible flash flooding in vulnerable regions.
From urban centres like Lahore and Islamabad to flood-prone hill torrent zones in southern Punjab and Balochistan, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) and Punjab’s Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) urged residents to remain vigilant, prepare emergency kits and avoid low-lying and inundated routes.
The alerts, effective until July 17, highlight the possible intensification of the monsoon due to moisture from the Arabian Sea.
Meanwhile, the monsoon system remains active across Punjab, though intermittent rainfall in Lahore has led to a spike in humidity levels.
According to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD), temperatures in Lahore are expected to fluctuate between a minimum of 27°C and a maximum of 33°C.
Light monsoon showers are predicted in Lahore, and the PDMA has issued an alert for rainfall and strong winds, effective until July 17.
The National Disaster Management Authority’s (NDMA) National Emergency Operations Centre has issued a hydrological outlook and monsoon alert for July 13-17.
The alert warns of moderate to heavy rainfall across various regions of the country, with potential for increased intensity due to moisture from the Arabian Sea.
The alert forecasts increased flow in all major rivers, particularly the Indus, Kabul, Jhelum (upstream of Mangla) and Chenab, due to incoming western winds. Currently, Tarbela, Taunsa and Guddu barrages are at low flood levels, while Kalabagh and Chashma are experiencing medium-level flooding.
The flood level in Taunsa is also expected to rise to a medium threshold.
For the upcoming week, the Indus River is expected to maintain a low to medium flow level at various stations. Low flood levels are anticipated in the Chenab River at Marala and Khanki, as well as in the Kabul River at Nowshera.
Flash flooding is likely in tributaries linked to the Swat and Panjkora rivers due to persistent rainfall.
Similarly, in Balochistan, particularly in Jhal Magsi, Kachhi, Sibi, Killa Saifullah, Zhob and Musakhel, flash floods are expected in local streams. Southern Balochistan districts, including Khuzdar, Awaran, Lasbela and Kalat, also face the risk of localised flooding.
At present, Tarbela Dam is at 74% capacity, while Mangla Dam stands at 44%, according to NDMA data.
Residents living near rivers, nullahs, and drainage channels are advised to remain vigilant for sudden rises in water levels, particularly during heavy rains and nighttime flooding.
Communities in flood-prone areas should pre-identify safe evacuation routes and secure household items, vehicles and livestock on elevated ground.
NDMA has also urged the public to prepare emergency kits with sufficient food, water, and essential medicines for 3-5 days. District administrations, especially in northeastern and central Punjab, are advised to ensure dewatering equipment is on standby to address potential urban flooding.
Citizens are strongly advised to stay updated via television, radio, mobile alerts, and the Pak NDMA Disaster Alert mobile app. Public safety advisories also emphasise avoiding causeways, low-lying bridges, and inundated roads.
NDMA remains in active communication with relevant authorities to ensure the timely issuance of alerts and coordinated emergency response.
The NDMA’s monsoon alert includes Karachi, where the current system, expected to last through July 17, may intensify due to moisture from the Arabian Sea. The hydrological outlook warns of possible high to very high flows in major rivers due to western wind activity.
The alert echoes the Islamabad forecast: Tarbela, Taunsa, and Guddu barrages remain at low flood levels, while Kalabagh and Chashma are witnessing moderate flooding. Rising flood levels are anticipated in Taunsa as well.
River flow levels are expected to stay between low and medium thresholds during the week. The Chenab River at Marala and Khanki and the Kabul River at Nowshera, are projected to sustain low flood levels.
Flash floods are anticipated in the tributaries of Swat and Panjkora due to continuous rainfall.
