Recent polls show Kamala Harris with a slight lead over Donald Trump. Reuters
After Joe Biden withdrew from the presidential race, US Vice President Kamala Harris has endorsed herself as his successor and is hard at work on her campaign. The 59-year-old Harris kicked off her campaign rallies on Tuesday (July 23) and launched an offensive against her Republican rival Donald Trump.
Speaking to a crowd of about 3,000 in the battleground state of Wisconsin, Ms Harris likened the former US president she has prosecuted to a “looter,” “con artist” and “charlatan”. Meanwhile, Mr Trump slammed Ms Harris’ record on the border, writing on social media: “Lying Kamala Harris destroys everything she touches!”
Harris is not yet the official Democratic candidate for November’s presidential election, but she has already won the support of a majority of the party’s delegates.
With the US vice president likely to be chosen as the nominee at next month’s Democratic convention, what are his chances of actually beating Trump?
Let’s take a look.
What do the polls say?
Harris has a slight lead over Trump since Biden dropped out of the presidential race on Sunday and endorsed her.
by ReutersAn Ipsos poll released Tuesday found that Democratic candidate Trump has the support of 44% of those surveyed nationwide, while Republican candidate Trump’s approval rating is 42%, giving Trump a two-point lead.
A poll conducted last week, before Biden ended his campaign, reportedly found Harris and Trump tied at 44% in the polls. AFP News.
of PBS News/NPRA Marist poll conducted on Monday found that Trump had the support of 46% of American voters, compared with 45% for Harris. Nine percent of those surveyed said they were undecided.
If third-party or independent candidates were to enter the race, Harris and Trump would be tied at 42%.
An average of polls compiled by RealClearPolitics shows Trump leading Harris by a slim 1.6 percentage points. AFP News.
Previous polls conducted before Biden’s announcement had projected Harris to lag behind the former president.
According to the analysis, The Washington Post Eleven different polls showed Trump beating the vice president by 1.5 percentage points, a slight improvement over Biden, who trailed Trump by 1.9 percentage points.
Can Harris beat Trump?
Biden’s endorsement of Harris has galvanized enthusiasm among Democrats, and her growing support from top brass including former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi signals the party’s confidence in her to take on Trump.
The Democratic front-runner raised more than $100 million in donations within 36 hours of Biden’s withdrawal.
Harris is the youngest candidate in the race, so concerns about Biden’s age don’t apply to her — in fact, at 78, Trump is the older candidate.
The Republican Party’s unpopularity could work to Harris’s advantage. The Hill According to a survey by CEO John F. Kennedy and the Decision Desk Headquarters (DDHQ), 53 percent of Americans view President Trump unfavorably.
A FiveThirtyEight poll conducted before Biden withdrew found that about 51% of Americans disapproved of Harris, compared with 38% who approved. This disapproval was higher for Trump, with 53% disapproving compared with 39% who approved.
On the issue of abortion, Harris has an advantage over Trump, who has single-handedly claimed credit for the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade.
Democrats have won state elections where abortion rights were on the ballot, even in conservative states like Kansas and Kentucky, and Trump has recognized this and toned down his anti-abortion rhetoric.
Harris, who could become the first female president of the United States, has made reproductive rights one of her key campaign pledges and is expected to go head-to-head with Trump on the issue.
If she wins the Democratic nomination, she could become the first black woman to serve as president of the United States, a historic milestone, and if she wins in November, she would become the first Asian American to hold the presidency.
That gives Harris an edge among young and non-white voters whom Biden has failed to impress, and could also attract conservatives who don’t want to elect an older Trump, as well as younger leftists who want a more progressive candidate.
talk luckRenowned presidential historian Barbara Perry, who has written several books on the presidency, said Harris is the perfect candidate to beat the former US president.
“There is no greater contrast to Donald Trump,” Harris said. “She’s a woman of color, she has an interesting background – her father is from Jamaica, her mother is from India – and she’s made it on her own. It’s the story of the American Dream.”
Perry said Harris was the “perfect person to run against me” and counter “Trump’s misogyny”.
What could go wrong for Harris?
If Trump is unpopular, then Harris is unpopular too. The HillHarris is trailing Trump nationally by nearly three percentage points, according to the /DDHQ polling average, which gives her an average disapproval rating of 56 percent and just 38 percent of Americans view her favorably.
As The Hill As pointed out, this means that the Democratic Party’s enthusiasm for Harris is not being conveyed to voters on the ground. Voters’ prejudices against electing a female president, especially a black female one, could undermine Harris’ chances.
Harris has already faced sexist comments from Trump and been mocked on social media, and will have to overcome the challenge of being held to a higher standard than her former white, male rivals.
The Trump campaign has downplayed Harris’ recent lead over the Republican candidate, arguing it’s due to a recent media barrage against her.
Pollster Tony Fabrizio said: Reuters Harris’ popularity will eventually wane.
There are fears her campaign could fail like her last one, as Ms Harris noted she will be running this election with immigration looming over her. Leech.
She has been linked to the immigration issue among the public, and Trump intends to hold her accountable.
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