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Home » Doubts swirl as India aims to become a developed economy by 2047: ‘There is a huge gap’
India

Doubts swirl as India aims to become a developed economy by 2047: ‘There is a huge gap’

i2wtcBy i2wtcApril 22, 2024No Comments5 Mins Read
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Despite the harsh global environment, India’s gross domestic product grew by 7.8 percent in the year to March, it was announced. international monetary fund Estimate. Meanwhile, China reported GDP growth. 5.2% in 2023.

But economists say India still needs to address a number of legacy issues that could hinder investment if it is to achieve developed country status.

“Modi has managed to leverage India’s economic growth into a personal achievement,” said Antonio Fatas, economics professor at INSEAD Business School. “It is no exaggeration to say that he and his government are held partly responsible for the growth rate in recent years.”

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi speaks at a ceremony in Mumbai to mark the start of 2016’s Make in India Week. Economists say his economic protectionism is part of the reason for his enduring popularity. Photo: AFP
One of the reasons India’s prime minister remains so popular at home is that he is “very protective” local industrysaid Fatas.

“This protection comes at the cost of overall economic performance,” he said. “India is doing well, but given how low its per capita GDP is, it should have done better.”

Economists say that for India to rise to the status of a developed nation, its rapid growth will need to lift up all sectors of society, including the poorest and those living in remote areas.

“When we talk about becoming a developed economy, the goal must be clear. Annual per capita income in developed countries is about $10,000 to $11,000.Right now, we are at just over $2,500. NR Bhanumurthy, Vice-Chancellor, BR Ambedkar University of Economics, Bangalore, said.

“There is a big gap. What matters is the degree of inclusive and distributive growth.”

Cars line up on the assembly line at Renault-Nissan’s manufacturing plant in Oragadam, Tamil Nadu state in southern India.Photo: Reuters

However, New Delhi needs to prioritize land and labor law reforms and capital availability to achieve inclusive growth, Bhanumurthy said.

Labor reforms, in particular, could help empower India’s youth, he said. most populous country You can tap on it so called population bonus – Refers to the fact that about 65 percent of India’s population is under 35 years of age.

Although the country’s elite science and engineering universities continue to produce large numbers of graduates who contribute to the global technology sector, many young people, especially in remote and rural areas, struggle to find work because of the poor quality of education. ing.

Nearly one in five Indians between the ages of 15 and 24 was unemployed as of last year, according to International Labor Organization estimates cited by the World Bank.

If re-elected, Mr. Modi has promised to prioritize labor reforms already passed by Congress in 2020.Opinion polls show ruling BJP’s expectations to win.

Despite receiving parliamentary approval, the implementation of India’s new labor code has stalled due to resistance from trade unions who oppose the relaxed hiring and firing provisions and restrictions on their activities.

With a growing population, can India chart a path like China in manufacturing?

grassroots challenge

Devashis Basu, a chartered accountant, author and portfolio manager, said India’s business environment remains weak despite the government’s efforts to implement reforms such as productivity-based incentive programs aimed at boosting manufacturing. He said it was still difficult.

“It could be about India becoming a global country.” [investment] “Although India is the second largest investment destination after China, the reality is that doing business in India is difficult, so foreign direct investment in India has not increased,” he said.

FDI into India fell nearly 13% in the April-December period from a year earlier, from $36.7 billion to $32 billion, according to government data.

Officials say the numbers reflect a temporary drop, but economists have raised concerns about high import duties, slow government approvals and unclear rules. However, global manufacturers, etc. tesla and iPhone manufacturer apple The company has expressed interest in opening a factory in India.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk was scheduled to announce plans for a new factory in India this week. New EV policy This means easing import restrictions.But on Saturday he suddenly postponed his planned tripHe said he has a “very heavy obligation to Tesla” and looks forward to visiting later this year.

01:55

Elon Musk talks with Indian Prime Minister Modi, says Tesla may make a ‘significant investment’

Elon Musk talks with Indian Prime Minister Modi, says Tesla may make a ‘significant investment’

Mr. Musk’s postponement Elections currently underway He was criticized by opposition politician Jairam Ramesh, general secretary of the Nationalist Congress Party, who said, “He too has read the writing on the wall.”

But Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman dismissed such speculation, telling local media that the government would “make every effort to make it attractive” for major companies to invest in India.

In recent years, there has been a steady increase in the number of global companies expressing interest in diversifying their businesses. from china. Some Indian states have done better than others in providing incentives to foreign companies, while others have been slower to promote investment.

“What people don’t realize is that for reform to move forward, it has to go down to the grassroots level,” Basu said. “There are too many rules at the state and district level. It is not just the will of the central government or Prime Minister Modi that determines the fate of projects.”

Why Indian startups are struggling to raise funding despite a booming economy

Most analysts agree that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party has accelerated infrastructure development such as roads and airports, but noted that port development still lags behind other countries. especially china.

Biswajit Dhar, vice president of the Council for Social Development, a research and advocacy NGO, said India needs a clear strategy to improve efficiency and boost manufacturing. This includes fostering innovation by developing ports and promoting research and development, he said.

Doing so, he said, means resisting “taking political advantage” by rolling out policies such as free food programs. “We need to create jobs. Only when we have them can they climb the income ladder.”



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