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Update date: October 30, 2024 05:05 IST
Washington DC [US]October 30 (ANI): As the showdown in the US presidential election approaches, a new poll shows that the two candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, are in a close race in the key battleground states of Arizona and Nevada. It turned out that it was. .
According to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS in Arizona, Harris has an approval rating of 48% among likely voters, compared to 47% for Trump. CNN reported that Trump has a slight lead in Nevada with 48% of the votes cast compared to 47% for Harris.
This close margin is within the poll’s margin of error and suggests there is no clear front-runner in either state.
Surveys show that voters are largely opinionated about which candidate will do a better job of addressing key issues, with both candidates demonstrating attributes such as caring about voters, sharing a vision for the country, and prioritizing national interests over personal ones. It did not significantly sway the majority of voters. According to CNN, there are benefits.
While the Nevada race has been stable since late August, recent results in Arizona have shown a shift toward Harris among the Democratic core, especially women, Latino voters, and young voters. Women support Harris by a 16-point margin, while men support her. He has a 14 point lead over Trump.
In Nevada, Harris’ lead among women has narrowed (51% to 46%), but Trump has a significant advantage among white voters, with a 15-point lead among white men and a 12-point lead among white women, CNN said. reported.
Nevada’s Hispanic voters are about evenly split, but Harris has a large lead among voters under 35.
Independent voters in Arizona are split on Trump, with 45% favoring Harris and 43% favoring Harris. In Nevada, independent voters favor Harris 46% to 43%, little changed since August.
Democratic candidates for the U.S. Senate in both states appear to be in strong positions. In Arizona, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake 51% to 43%. In Nevada, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen leads Republican challenger Sam Brown 50% to 41%.
In Arizona, an amendment establishing a constitutional right to abortion has strong support, with 60% of likely voters in favor.
Both states have robust early voting and mail-in voting processes. According to polls, 55% of potential voters in Arizona and 42% in Nevada report having already voted, with more registered Republicans voting early than registered Democrats. CNN reported that he is doing so.
Harris still leads in early voting in Arizona (53% to Trump 44%), while Trump leads in Nevada (52% to 46%).
Roughly one-fifth of voters in both states believe neither candidate is honest or trustworthy, which is higher than rejection rates based on other personal characteristics.
Confidence in the accuracy of voting and counting has increased since late August. About 81 percent of likely voters in Nevada (up 10 points since August) and 76 percent in Arizona (up 8 points) express at least some confidence in the process. This increase is occurring primarily among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Despite this progress, confidence in the electoral process remains significantly lower among Republicans in both states than among Democrats. In Arizona, 69 percent of likely Democratic voters were very confident, compared to just 21 percent of Republican voters. The gap is even wider in Nevada, where 71 percent of Democratic-leaning voters are very confident, compared to 16 percent of Republican-leaning voters.
The poll was conducted from October 21 to October 26, 2024, with 781 voters in Arizona and 683 voters in Nevada. The sample of likely voters was weighted based on predicted voting behavior, and the margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points in Arizona and 4.6 percentage points in Nevada.
Meanwhile, The Hill’s latest presidential forecast shows former President Trump ahead of current Vice President Harris, with the former receiving 54% support and the latter 46%.
The former Republican president holds narrow leads in five of the six states: Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, but Harris has a slight advantage in Michigan. However, as The Hill reported, the difference is still within common voting error. (Ani)
