For the first time in campaign history, former President Donald Trump holds a lead at the polls with a week to go until Election Day.
British bookmaker Beftfair Exchange has Mr. Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris -175 to +175, with the US betting company since President Joe Biden withdrew from the race. This is Trump’s largest lead in the game, which he cannot participate in.
The lead is similar at other betting houses that USA TODAY regularly tracks.
Sam Rosbottom, a spokesman for the betting company, said: “Trump is now in the driver’s seat and is certainly more confident than ever, but his return in 2016 will be at the end of the election.” “It shows that we don’t know what will happen in the next two weeks.” in a statement provided to USA TODAY.
Then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had an even bigger lead over Trump a week before the election, but ultimately lost on election night. Biden held a lead in 2020 similar to the one Trump currently holds, narrowly winning the states needed to decide the electorate.
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Questions have arisen over gambling patterns at offshore crypto-based gambling dens after the Wall Street Journal reported that four mysterious accounts placed $30 million in crypto bets on Trump’s victory. are.
Betfair said in a statement that it had earned more than 160 million pounds ($200 million).
Betting odds comparison after 1 week
Via Betfair Exchange
2024
2020
2016
presidential betting timeline
How accurate were the odds of winning in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the nonprofit news organization The Conversation.
Aside from 2016, the only time bettors missed was in 1948, when Harry Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas Dewey (Republican) against 8-1 odds.
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Contributor: Joey Garrison