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Home » Voter turnout in France’s elections is set to be the highest in decades: 59.7% with three hours left
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Voter turnout in France’s elections is set to be the highest in decades: 59.7% with three hours left

i2wtcBy i2wtcJuly 7, 2024No Comments7 Mins Read
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PARIS: Turnout in the second round of France’s crucial legislative elections is set to be the highest in more than 40 years, at 59.7% with three hours to go.

French President Emmanuel Macron dissolved parliament and scheduled a surprise vote over the busiest weekend of the year, when many head off for their summer holidays, in a big gamble that the far-right Rally National party would be unable to repeat its victory in the June 9 European Parliament elections.

But in the first round of voting, an anti-immigration nationalist party won a third of the vote in France, more than any other party, putting the far-right on the brink of a historic victory. The second round on Sunday will decide which party will control the National Assembly and who will become prime minister.

The turnout at 5pm local time was the highest at that time since 1981.

Mainland France will hold a crucial runoff election on Sunday that could deliver a historic victory for Marine Le Pen’s far-right Rally National party and its inward-looking, anti-immigration ideals, or lead to a hanging parliament and political deadlock.

French President Emmanuel Macron has taken a big gamble by dissolving Parliament and calling general elections after his centrist party suffered a crushing defeat in the June 9 European Parliament elections.

The elections in the nuclear-armed country will have implications for the Ukraine war, international diplomacy and Europe’s economic stability, and are almost certain to deal a blow to Macron’s remaining three years in office.

In the first round of voting on June 30, the anti-immigration, nationalist Rally National party led by Marine Le Pen won the largest number of votes in history.

More than 49 million people are registered to vote in the election, which will determine which parties control France’s powerful 577-seat National Assembly, the lower house of parliament, and who will become prime minister. If support for Mr Macron’s weak centrist majority falls further, he could be forced to share power with parties that oppose many of his pro-business, pro-European Union policies.

Voters at the polls in Paris were keenly aware of the far-reaching implications, not just within France but also abroad.

“Individual freedom, tolerance and respect for others is what’s on the line right now,” said Thomas Bertrand, a 45-year-old voter who works in advertising.

Racism, anti-Semitism and Russian cyber attacks have marred the campaign, with more than 50 candidates reported to have been physically attacked – highly unusual in France – and the government plans to deploy 30,000 police on election day.

The tensions come as France is celebrating a very special summer: Paris is about to host a hugely ambitious Olympics, the national football team is reaching the semi-finals of Euro 2024 and the Tour de France is running with the Olympic torch across the country.

According to the French Interior Ministry, turnout was 26.63% as of noon local time, slightly higher than the 25.90% reported at the same time in last Sunday’s first round.

The first round saw the highest turnout since 1997 – around 67 percent – and ended nearly three decades of deepening voter apathy towards legislative elections, and, increasingly, politics in general among French people.

Mr Macron voted with his wife Brigitte in the seaside resort of La Touquet, after Prime Minister Gabriel Attal had voted earlier in the Paris suburb of Vanves.

Ms. Le Pen will not be voting because there will be no runoff election in northern French constituencies because she won her seat last week. Across France, 76 other candidates won seats in the first round, including 39 from her National Rally party and 32 from the left-leaning New Popular Front coalition. Two of Mr. Macron’s centrist candidates also won seats in the first round.

Elections will close at 8pm (1800 GMT) on Sunday in mainland France and Corsica. The first voting estimates are due to be published on Sunday evening, with official results expected to be published late Sunday or early Monday.

Voters in the Americas and the French overseas territories of Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint-Martin, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyana and French Polynesia cast their ballots on Saturday.

If the Rally National wins an absolute majority in the election and its 28-year-old leader, Jordan Bardella, becomes prime minister, France will have its first far-right government since the Nazi occupation during World War II. The party came first in the first round of voting last week, followed by a coalition of center-left parties, far-left parties and the Greens, as well as Macron’s centrist bloc.

Pierre Leban, a 45-year-old business manager, worried about whether the elections would produce an effective government.

“That’s a concern for us,” Rubin said. “Will it be a technical government or will it be a coalition made up of (different) political forces?”

The outcome remains highly uncertain. Opinion polls taken between the two rounds of voting suggest the Rally National may win the most seats in the 577-seat National Assembly but fall short of the 289 seats needed for a majority. It would make history if a party long considered a pariah with historical ties to xenophobia and Holocaust downplaying becomes France’s largest political force.

If the party wins a majority, Macron would be forced to share power with a prime minister who deeply disagrees with the president’s domestic and foreign policies, an awkward arrangement known in France as “cohabitation.”

Another possibility is that no party will win a majority, leaving parliament in limbo, which could lead Macron to negotiate a coalition with a center-left coalition or to form a non-party technocratic government.

Whatever happens, Mr Macron’s centrist bloc will be forced to share power: Many of his candidates lost or withdrew in the first round, leaving him short of the majority he won when he was first elected president in 2017 or the most seats he could win in the 2022 parliamentary elections.

Both developments are unprecedented for modern France and will make it harder for the European Union’s second-largest economy to make bold decisions on arms sales to Ukraine, reforming labor laws or reducing a huge budget deficit.Financial markets have been reeling since Macron surprised even his closest allies in June by announcing early elections after his National Rally party won the most seats in the European Parliament elections.

Sitting in a deckchair along the Canal Saint-Martin in eastern Paris, Fernando Veloso said people were confused by the prospect of a divided government.

“It would be chaotic,” said the 67-year-old retiree. “Can a coexisting government rule properly with Macron still in power? It’s a difficult question.”

“Tensions are rising,” Veloso added. “I’m worried. I’m very worried.”

Macron said he would not step down, whatever happened, and would stay on as president until the end of his term in 2027.

Many French voters, especially in smaller towns and rural areas, are frustrated with low incomes and a political leadership in Paris that they see as elitist and out of touch with the daily struggles of working people. The Rally National has built up broad and deep support over the past decade by connecting with these voters, in part by blaming immigration for France’s problems.

Le Pen has softened many of the party’s positions and no longer calls for withdrawal from NATO or the EU, in order to make the party more electoralable, but the party’s core far-right values ​​remain intact: it wants a referendum on citizenship for those born in France alone, restricting the rights of dual nationals and giving police greater freedom to use weapons.

With the outcome of a key election hanging in the balance, Valérie Daudemann, a 55-year-old legal professional, said she was pessimistic about France’s future.

“No matter what happens, this election is going to leave people on all sides frustrated,” Daudeman said.



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