A normal dry season is expected, but there is a rising risk of an El Niño event, which could intensify the habagat. The likelihood of an El Niño has increased, with some forecasts suggesting it could be stronger than previously expected, potentially bringing significant weather impacts to various regions. The effects of a strong El Niño could be far-reaching, with possible implications for wildfire risk, hurricane season, and monsoon patterns in several parts of the world.