There are reports that Russia may be planning provocations in the Baltics or Poland, potentially to divert attention from its long-range strike campaign in Ukraine. However, some sources, including Lithuanian intelligence, have found no signs of preparations for a large-scale attack on the Baltic states, instead warning of possible sabotage. The situation remains uncertain, with some outlets suggesting a potential attack on Poland to test NATO's resolve, while others expect "hybrid" threats rather than conventional military action.